• ACAR is perceived as a ‘lucky dip’ rather than transparent process.
Agree – the process for assessing applications changes every year, the criteria for assessing applications is not transparent, is based on the answering of constant changing iterations of similar but different questions, and changing stated or unstated agendas, driven by politics of some form or another.
Assessment criteria needs:
• to be transparent and consistent from year to year.
• Should place priority on an organisations track record in the following areas:
1. Providing quality and compliant care
2. Past delivery of new bed places in a timely fashion
3. Demonstrated capacity to deliver these bed places
4. Demonstration of readiness and commitment to a project
- a scoring scale should be weighted against each of these criteria, for instance in relation to item 4. a construction certificate (or other appropriate approvals to commence construction works) would be the best testament to resource and financial commitment to delivering a project and achieve the highest score, a development approval on land or should be the next score down, going down to option access to a site being the lowest.
This type weighting and requirement coupled with regular ACAR rounds, say quarterly, will reduce the appetite to apply on a contingency basis and progress projects that are more seriously committed too and where resources have been expended and the likelihood of timely delivery is higher.
• Some providers who apply to ‘crowd out’ local competition or to sell places later.
Disagree – the process is very inefficient and high risk in terms of project delivery. With only one allocation per 12 – 18 months, some projects get delayed for years on end, even when the provider has made real financial and resource commitments as outlined above. That being the case providers are applying on a contingency basis to have options to grow their organisations and move forwards should the commerciality subsequently stack up, and the commerciality often changes through the investment decision horizon of a project time frames.
In the most part, except for in very thin markets (rural and remote) crowding out local competition is not possible, and with occupancy sitting at average percentages in the low 90’s and returns continually depleting, the reality is provider will only commit to progressing projects that make financial sense.
If project progression was at the core of the assessment criteria, then the opportunity for crowding out would not be an issue, and would mean allocations were made in accordance with organisations demonstrated current capacity of delivery.
• ACAR is disadvantageous to smaller providers.
Only to the extent that the informal criteria for allocation keep changing (the goal posts of allocation) and is not transparent.
• Underperforming providers are still able to fill vacant beds, as supply is constrained.
Disagree - Occupancy has been dropping on average 1% per year 7 or 8 years, due to the rapid increase in home care service provision is having a profound impact on the usage patterns and occupancy of residential aged care.
This has been compounded by increased supply and competition in the market place.
With average occupancy in the low 90’s, and the viability of a fixed cost business model not being much below this, there is nowhere for under performing providers to hide.
• There is minimal pressure for existing providers to innovate or be responsive to consumers with ACFA noting that 18 per cent of rooms are still ‘ward style’ despite typical consumer preferences to the contrary.
Disagree, the real deterrent for addressing the upgrading of stock to meet underlying consumers demands in terms of providing single rooms to consumers is that the ever increasing capital costs of providing this model and the ongoing lowering of operating return and risk associated with the capex associated for many providers at this point in time.
The higher accommodation supplement also gave a lifeline dressing up older substandard stock, however with current competition and occupancy rates and low returns in the industry this will not be enough to keep these facilities viable in the longer term, and many are now closing or being transacted upon.
Should the returns match the capex and risks, the additional 10% allocated places (vs. the true demand post home care re-balance) will drive outdated stock out of the market.
• Providers cannot easily build or expand into other areas, due to locational controls.
Agree a more market driven approach would be to do the following:
• Do a study and make clear the impact of home care on the need for residential care service provision, formulate new ratios for home care and residential service provision. These ratios should be based on the relevant average usage age for each service type, for instance 85 for residential care and 75 for homecare (or whatever the relevant age may be), places should then be made available on this basis.
• Make publically available an ongoing register by suburb across Australia of all active, offline and allocated places so that providers can easily track on a suburb by suburb basis current and future planned provision to a location, to help providers more clearly understand demand needs.
• Provide suburb by suburb growth projections for the next 15 years according these cohorts and the suburb ratios against these.
• Remove restrictions on allocation by location and do so by state, as part of the assessment for beds, let providers make decision if they believe there is market opportunity in any given market and be allocated competitively in accordance with the transparent performance based criteria (as mentioned above). If the commerciality of a project makes sense, and information is freely available and in real time this will deliver competition and drive innovation.
• Provide safety guards for rural remote and other special interest providers where efficient markets are not sustainable.
• Many allocated places are not operational and therefore unavailable to consumers.
The reasons for this have been described above, that being the case declining occupancy levels suggest that this is not causing an issue for consumer access to residential care at this stage.
• The bigger issue is weather capital costs are justified by the operating returns of the industry in order to drive the longer term investment needed in the industry as the needs ramp up towards the baby boomers need for residential care.